The low ability to anticipate dengue fever incidents is partly due to the fact that the time, place and number of incidents cannot be predicted well, there are no regional vulnerability indices and maps based on the time of occurrence, and there is no reliable model for predicting the incidence of dengue fever. In order to anticipate and adapt to the impact of climate change on the incidence of dengue fever, a mathematical model is needed to predict the incidence of dengue fever one month in advance for one year so that it can be used as an early warning against dengue fever incidents.